The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail–but Some Don’t
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Publication Date: Jan 1 2012. Condition : Used – Good.
Publication Date: Jan 1 2012. About More Than Words.
Most predictions fail, often at great cost to society, because experts and laypeople mistake more confident predictions for more accurate ones. If our appreciation of uncertainty improves, our predictions can get better too.
This textbook includes a DVD with video lectures and supplementary materials.